While
gold is traded in markets throughout the world, the market is
essentially homogenous since the gold price is always in dollars and
the gold traded is "loco London" (gold deliverable in London and
meeting London trading standards). The London PM fix is normally
considered the main reference price for the day and is the price
most often used in contracts. The price of gold is quoted in USD per
troy ounce.
A tradition of the London Gold
Fixing was that participants could raise a small Union Flag on their
desk to pause proceedings. Under the telephone fixing system,
participants can register a pause by saying the word "flag", and the
chair ends the meeting with the phrase "There are no flags, and we're
fixed".
Since May 2004 it has been
conducted by telephone. The chairman begins with a 'trying' price.
The five fixing members' representatives relay the price to their
dealing rooms. And these are in contact with other dealers. The market
members then declare how much gold they are prepared to buy or sell
at that price. The dealers, who are in contact with their clients,
may change their order or add to it or cancel it at any time; the
position declared by the dealers is the net position outstanding
among all their clients. (If one is buying two tonnes and another is
selling one tonne, then he declares himself a buyer of one tonne.)
If more gold is required than is offered, then the price will be
adjusted upwards (and vice versa) until equilibrium is reached. At
this point the gold price is fixed. On very rare occasions the price
will be fixed when there is disequilibrium, at the discretion of the
chairman of the fix.
Influence on gold price: The
day price of gold is driven by supply and demand. Because most of the
gold ever mined still exists and is potentially able to come on to
the market for the right price, unlike most other commodities, the
hoarding and disposal plays a much bigger role in affecting the
price. At the end of 2006, it was estimated that all the gold ever
mined totaled 158,000 tons. Given the huge quantity of stored gold,
compared to the annual production, the price of gold is mainly
affected by changes in sentiment, rather than changes in annual
production. In times of national crisis, people fear that their assets
may be seized and that the currency may become worthless. They see
gold as a solid asset which will always buy food or transportation.
Thus in times of great uncertainty, particularly when war is feared,
the demand for gold rises.
When dollars were fully
convertible into gold, both were regarded as money. However, most
people preferred to carry around paper banknotes rather than the
somewhat heavier and less divisible gold coins. If people feared their
bank would fail, a bank run might have been the result. This is what
happened in the USA during the Great Depression of the 1930s,
leading President Roosevelt to impose a national emergency and to
outlaw the ownership of gold by US citizens.
If the return on bonds, equities
and real estate is not adequately compensating for risk and
inflation then the demand for gold and other alternative investments
such as commodities increases. An example of this is the period of
Stagflation that occurred during the 1970s and which led to an
economic bubble forming in precious metals.
Gold is the most popular
precious metal in which people invest. It is a safe- haven against
any economic, political, social or currency-based crises, such as:
investment market declines, currency failure, inflation, war and social
unrest.
Gold is unlike a bond. Gold pays
no interest. But, Gold cannot become worthless like a bond can. The
values of both rise and fall in free market trading.
Gold is also not a stock.Gold
has no employees, no unions, pays no health insurance, has no
overpaid CEO, no need to borrow money from a bank, and is
recession-proof. Gold simply sits there in your vault quietly doing its
job. You can see why for the average stock broker or financial
adviser, Gold remains a total mystery.
Sadly for their clients, stock
brokers seldom recommend investing in Gold or Silver. Despite the
remarkable year-over-year gains they continue to ignore the gains
being generated during the current bull market.
Stocks and Bonds prosper in
strong economic times and bear higher risks in bad times. By
contrast, Gold ignores recessions and does well when these and other
traditional investments fail.
The first fixing took place on
September 12, 1919 amongst the five principal gold bullion traders
and refiners of the day. The price of gold then was four pounds 18
shillings and ninepence per troy ounce. Due to government controls and
war emergencies, the London Gold Fixing was suspended between 1939
and 1954. price of gold are fixed in United States dollars (USD),
Pound sterling (GBP) and European Euros (EUR).
Historically, the Fixing took
place twice daily at the City offices of N M Rothschild & Sons
in St Swithin's Lane, but since May 5 2004 it takes place by
telephone. In April 2004, N M Rothschild & Sons announced that it
planned to withdraw from gold trading and from the London Gold
Fixing. Barclays Bank took its place from 7 June 2004, and the
chairmanship of the meeting, formerly held permanently by
Rothschilds, now rotates annually. On January 21 1980 the Gold Fixing
reached the price of $850, a figure which was not overtaken until
January 3 2008. This is when a new record of $865.35 per troy ounce
was set in the morning Fixing. However, with inflation, the 1980 high
would be equal to a price of $2398.21 in 2007 dollars. So, the 1980
record still holds in real terms.
While gold is traded in markets
throughout the world, the market is essentially homogenous since the
gold price is always in dollars and the gold traded is "loco
London" (gold deliverable in London and meeting London trading
standards). The London PM fix is normally considered the main
reference price for the day and is the price most often used in
contracts. The price of gold is quoted in USD per troy ounce.
Since May 2004 it has been
conducted by telephone. The chairman begins with a 'trying' price.
The five fixing members' representatives relay the price to their
dealing rooms. And these are in contact with other dealers. The market
members then declare how much gold they are prepared to buy or sell
at that price. The dealers, who are in contact with their clients,
may change their order or add to it or cancel it at any time; the
position declared by the dealers is the net position outstanding
among all their clients. (If one is buying two tonnes and another is
selling one tonne, then he declares himself a buyer of one tonne.)
If more gold is required than is offered, then the price will be
adjusted upwards (and vice versa) until equilibrium is reached. At
this point the gold price is fixed. On very rare occasions the price
will be fixed when there is disequilibrium, at the discretion of the
chairman of the fix.
A tradition of the London Gold
Fixing was that participants could raise a small Union Flag on their
desk to pause proceedings. Under the telephone fixing system,
participants can register a pause by saying the word "flag", and the
chair ends the meeting with the phrase "There are no flags, and we're
fixed".
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